O’Shaquie Foster vs Robson Conceicao Betting Odds and Prediction

By Boxing

O’Shaquie Foster vs Robson Conceicao Preview November, 2nd 2024

Former WBC Junior Lightweight Champion O’Shaquie Foster of Orange, Texas will try to reclaim his title in an instant rematch with Robson Conceicao of Brazil this Saturday, November, 2nd. The 12-rounder from Verona, New York, can be seen live in America on ESPN+ while fans in the UK and Ireland can catch it on Sky Sports +. The two originally met in July with Conceicao winning a hotly-disputed split decision by scores of 116-112, 115-13 and 112-116. the fight was Foster’s third attempt at defending the belt as he edged Abraham Nova by a split decision in February and rallied to stop Eduardo Hernandez with 22 seconds left in the fight while behind on two judge’s scorecards last October in his first defence. He beat Rey Vargas by a comfortable unanimous decision to win the vacant belt eight months earlier.

Foster vs Conceicao Betting Odds

Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook BetOnline.ag (full review here).

  • Robson Conceicao +300
  • O’Shaquie Foster -400

My Pick

The 31-year-old Foster climbs through the ropes with a mark of 22-3 with 12 Ko’s and has boxed 158 rounds since making his pro debut in 2012. He enjoyed a fine amateur career and made it to the 2007 National Silver Gloves Final in the 12/13-year-old division and reached the 2010 USA Junior National Championship Semifinal but lost a couple of times to Joseph Diaz and was also beaten by Oscar Valdez.

As a pro, Foster also captured the WBC Silver Super Featherweight Title with a 10-round unanimous decision over Jon Fernandez in 2018 and took the vacant WBA Fedecentro Super Featherweight Belt in 2019 when he stopped Jesus Bravo in the eighth round. He also has wins over Miguel Roman, Alberto Mercado and Fatiou Fassinou. His defeats came at the hands of Samuel Teah by eight-round unanimous decision in 2015 and to Rolando Chinea via an eight-round split decision a year later.

Foster stands just over 5-feet-8-inches tall with a 72-inch reach and as far as power goes, 54.6 per cent of his wins have come by stoppage. He was riding a 12-fight winning streak until losing his belt to Conceicao and went the distance in six of those contests prior to stopping Hernandez last October, with his previous stoppage win coming in November, 2020 when he halted Miguel Roman in the ninth round.

Before upsetting Foster earlier this year, the 35-year-old Conceicao was best known for his draw with Emanuel Navarrete last November; his 2022 defeat to Shakur Stevenson when he dropped a 12-round unanimous decision for the vacant WBC and WBO Super Featherweight Belts; his controversial unanimous-decision loss to Oscar Valdez in 2021 in a shot at the WBC Super Featherweight Crown and for winning a gold medal at the 2018 Olympics in Brazil as a lightweight. He also competed at the 2012 Olympics in England where he was beaten by Josh Taylor in his first contest and fought at the 2008 games in China where he was also beaten in his first fight.

In addition, Conceicao competed in several World Amateur Championships and dropped a close decision to Vasyl Lomachenko in 2011. He’s built a record of 19-2-1 as a pro with 9 Ko’s and has average power in his fists as 47.4 per cent of his victories have come by stoppage. He’s also gone the distance in six of his last eight fights. Conceicao stands just over 5-feet-10 inches tall with a 70-inch reach for a two inch height advantage on Foster while giving up two inches in reach and has boxed 148 rounds since making his pro debut in 2016.

Conceicao’s fights against top-notch competition as a pro have been against Foster, Navarrete, Stevenson and Valdez and he fell just short but arguably could have earned the decision against Navarrete and Valdez despite being docked a point in the ninth round for hitting Valdez behind the head. The Brazilian’s has also beaten the likes of Xavier Martinez, Luis Coria, Carlos Ruiz, Edgar Cantu, Joey Laviolette and Eduardo Pereira Dos Reis. He has a decent chin but was dropped in the second round by Coria in 2020 and was also dropped by Navarrete.

Prediction…

The slick-boxing Foster doesn’t really need to change much in this fight against Conceicao but needs to leave no doubt in the judge’s minds who won each round. He should have learned a lesson from the first fight and be sure to let the leather fly every chance he gets. I predicted Conceicao to win the first meeting, but not in the way he did so, which was arguably a gift from the judges. Foster will be determined to regain the title and once again this could go either way but I have a feeling Foster will do enough to sway the judges his way this time around.

Foster has the skills, speed, chin and determination to regain the belt.

Play: Foster -400 @ BetOnline.ag

Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form.


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