Daniel Jacobs vs Shane Mosley Jr Betting Odds and Prediction

By Boxing

Daniel Jacobs vs Shane Mosley Jr Preview July 6th, 2024 

Former IBF and WBA Middleweight Champion Daniel Jacobs of Brownsville, New York will be taking on Shane Mosley Jr of Pomona, California this Saturday, July 6th. The 10-round super middleweight fight from Anaheim, California can be seen live in most nations on Fanmio pay-per-view as well as UFC Fight Pass. Jacobs last fought in February, 2022 when he dropped a controversial a 12-round split decision to John Ryder in England. Mosley Jr was last in action in December when he stopped Joshua Conley after six rounds.

Jacobs vs Mosley Betting Odds

Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook BetOnline.ag (full review here).

  • Daniel Jacobs +110
  • Shane Mosley Jr -140

My Pick

Jacobs, who’s now 37 years old, overcame bone cancer a few years ago and climbs into the ring at 37-4 with 30 Ko’s. Jacobs won the vacant WBA Middleweight Title in August, 2014 by stopping Jarrod Fletcher in the fifth round. He defended it four times before losing it to Gennady Golovkin by unanimous decision in March, 2017. Jacobs stopped Caleb Truax in the 12th round in his first title defence in 2015 then stopped Sergio Mora in the second round later later that year before stopping Mora a second time in September, 2016.

In between, he stopped Peter Quillin in the first round. His first career defeat came at the hands of Dmitry Pirog in July, 2010 when he was stopped in the fifth round during a shot at the vacant WBO Middleweight Crown. He also lost a unanimous decision to Canelo Alvarez in May, 2019 in which he lost the IBF Middleweight crown. He had won the vacant title just seven months earlier by beating Sergiy Derevyanchenko by split decision.

Jacobs is known for his boxing skills, speed and power, but his chin may not be the sturdiest any more after being stopped by Pirog and dropped by Golovkin. Jacobs stands 6-feet-tall with a 73-inch reach and has 198 rounds of experience under his belt since turning pro in 2007 following an excellent amateur career. He has impressive power as 81.1 per cent of his wins have come by stoppage but he’s gone the distance in seven of his last eight fights with three of them being losses. Before Julio Cesar Chavez quit in his corner after five rounds against Jacobs in December, 2019, his last stoppage came in 2016 when he halted Sergio Mora.

The 33-year-old Mosley Jr, who fights out of Las Vegas, isn’t on the same level as his famous father but is still a solid pro in his own right with a record of 21-4 with 12 Ko’s and has looked quite impressive lately. He stands 6-feet-1-inch tall with a 77-inch reach so is an inch taller than Jacobs with a four-inch edge in reach. Mosley has boxed 135 rounds since making his pro debut in 2014 after reportedly going 37-10 as an amateur. He isn’t really known as a heavy hitter but 57.1 per cent of his wins have come by way of knockout. He’s stopped his last two opponents but went the distance in five of the previous six outings.

Mosley’s four defeats came at the hands of Marchristopher Adkins by four-round split decision in his third pro fight; by eight-round split decision to David Toussaint in 2017; a 10-round unanimous decision to Brandon Adams in 2018 and a 10-round majority decision to Jason Quigley in 2021 for the vacant WBO NABO middleweight title. As far as pro titles go, Mosley also captured the vacant WBO NABO Super Middleweight Title in February, 2021 when he stopped Cristian Olivas after five rounds and the vacant WBO NABO Middleweight Belt when he halted D’Mitrius Ballard in the seventh round in June, 2023. His toughest tests to date have been Adams, Ballard, Quigley and Gabriel Rosado.

Prediction…

It’s safe to say that Jacobs is no longer in his prime and he hasn’t fought in close to two-and-a-half years and this will be just his third fight in the past four years. There’s no doubt Jacobs will give it his all and should have some good moments, but he may simply be out of gas now at the age of 37 and due to his inactivity. Mosley has been impressive lately but he’ll still need to deal with Jacobs’ speed and power. In his prime, I’d go with Jacobs here but it’s just too hard to tell what he has left. At this stage, I’d say this is a tossup with no outcome being a surprise. I’ll give Jacobs the benefit of the doubt though, but now he has to prove he’s still got it.

Jacobs may just have enough left in the tank.

Play: Jacobs +110 @ BetOnline.ag

Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form


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