Jaime Munguia vs John Ryder Betting Odds and Prediction

By Boxing

Jaime Munguia vs John Ryder Preview January 27th, 2024

Unbeaten former WBO Junior Middleweight Champion Jaime Munguia of Mexico takes on England’s John Ryder in a 12-round super middleweight tilt this Saturday, January 27th. The fight for Munguia’s WBC Silver Super Middleweight Title takes place in Phoenix, Arizona and can be seen live in most nations on DAZN. Munguia last boxed in June when he beat Sergiy Derevyanchenko via a 12-round unanimous decision in a slugfest to win the belt. Ryder’s last action came in May when he dropped a 12-round unanimous decision to undisputed Super Middleweight Champion Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez.

**Watch live on DAZN this Saturday.  Your first month is free.

Munguia vs Ryder Betting Odds

Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook BetOnline.ag (full review here).

  • John Ryder +250
  • Jaime Munguia -325

My Pick

The 27-year-old Munguia of Tijuana definitely likes to stay active as this will be his 43rd fight since turning pro in July, 2013 when he was a teenager. He enters the contest with a perfect mark of 42-0 with 33 Ko’s and first made a name for himself against Sadam Ali when he stepped up in class and stopped him in five rounds in May, 2018 for the WBO Jr. Middleweight Title. He then defended his belt against Liam Smith, Brandon Cook, Takeshi Inoue, Dennis Hogan and Patrick Allotey before moving up to middleweight.

At 160 lbs, he stopped Gary O’Sullivan in the 11th round in 2019 and then halted Tureano Johnson after six to win the vacant WBO Inter Continental Middleweight Title. He stopped Kamil Szeremeta after six rounds before beating Gabriel Rosado by unanimous decision and then halting D’Mitrius Ballard, Jimmy Kelly and Gonzalo Coria. Some of those fights highlighted Munguia’s defensive shortcomings but that’s a part of what makes him so exciting. The other part of his fan-friendly style is the fact he has dynamite in his fists with a current knockout ratio of 78.6 per cent. Munguia reportedly went 128-10 in the amateurs and now has 190 rounds of pro experience under his belt.

He entered the title fight against Sadam Ali in 2018 as a hungry boxer who wanted to make a name for himself on the world stage and he certainly did that. However, he struggled against Dennis Hogan and Takeshi Inoue as he went the distance with both of them and took quite a few shots. He also had trouble making the 154 lb weight limit and after five outings as a middleweight the 6-foot tall Munguia took his 72-inch reach up to super middleweight against Kelly but then moved back to middleweight. He fought Sergiy Derevyanchenko at super middleweight last year though and that appears to be where he’s going to stay for the time being as a fight with Canelo Alvarez is a possibility for later this year.

The 35-year-old Ryder, a southpaw from London, will enter the ring with a record of 32-6 with 18 Ko’s. He lost a split decision to Rocky Fielding for the vacant British Super Middleweight Title in 2017 and dropped a unanimous decision to Jack Arnfield for the WBA International Middleweight Crown a year earlier. His only stoppage defeat came to Nick Blackwell in 2015 when he was halted in the seventh round for the vacant British Middleweight Belt.His pro first loss was also for the British Middleweight Title and the Commonwealth Championship when he dropped a close unanimous decision to Billie Joe Saunders in 2013.

Ryder also lost to Callum Smith by way of a 12-round unanimous decision in November, 2019 in a fight many fans believed he won. That disputed decision was for the WBA Super World Super Middleweight title and the WBC Diamond Super Middleweight Crown. He held his own against Alvarez last year but two of the judge’s gave him just one round. Ryder did manage to win the vacant WBO Inter-Continental Middleweight Title in 2014 when he stopped Theophilus Tetteh in the fifth round.

He captured the vacant WBA International Middleweight Belt in 2016 with a unanimous decision over Siarhei Khamitski and also won the vacant IBF International Super Middleweight Title with a unanimous decision over Adam Etches in 2017. He’s stopped Patrick Nielsen, Jamie Cox and Andrey Sirotkin with a split decision win over Daniel Jacobs and enjoyed a fine amateur career and won a couple of regional titles. Ryder earned his shot at Alvarez by stopping Zach Parker after four rounds in November, 2022 for the Interim WBO Super Middleweight Belt when Parker broke his right hand.

Ryder stands 5-feet-9-inches tall with a 72-inch reach which means he gives up three inches in height to Munguia. He’s boxed 245 rounds since making his pro debut in 2010 and possesses decent power as 56.3 per cent of his wins have come by way of stoppage but has gone the distance in four of his past six fights. Ryder shows a lot of heart and energy in the ring and has been quite competitive in every fight when moving up in class but usually falls just short of the mark.

Prediction…

Munguia is a world-class boxer who often disappoints some fans because of the level of his opposition. He’s taking on a legitimate foe in Ryder, but he is 35 years old and has six career losses. Ryder has the style to make Munguia work hard though as he owns a solid chin and isn’t afraid to let his hands go. Both boxers employ exciting styles with plenty of energy and this should be another fan-friendly outing by the pair of them. Munguia is eight years younger though, is bigger and possesses more power. His chin may be tested, but I’m expecting him to come out on top when all is said and done.

Munguia’s size, aggression and power should be the difference.

Play: Munguia -325 @ BetOnline.ag

Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form.


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