William Zepeda vs Tevin Farmer Betting Odds and Prediction

By Boxing

William Zepeda vs Tevin Farmer Preview November 16th, 2024

Unbeaten lightweight prospect William Zepeda of Mexico returns to the ring to battle former IBF Super Featherweight Champion Tevin Farmer of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania this Saturday, November 16th for the interim WBC Lightweight Belt. The fight from Saudi Arabia, can be seen live in most nations on DAZN. Zepeda took care of Giovanni Cabrera in three rounds in his last outing in July while Farmer dropped a 10-round unanimous decision to Raymond Muratalla in the same month in a shot at the NABA Lightweight Belt and the vacant WBO NABO Title.

**Watch live on DAZN this Saturday.  Your first month is free.

Zepeda vs Farmer Betting Odds

Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook BetOnline.ag (full review here).

  • Tevin Farmer +1100
  • William Zepeda -2500

My Pick

The 28-year-old Zepeda is a southpaw who enters the ring with a perfect mark of 31-0 with 27 big Ko’s. He’s obviously made a name for himself due to his impressive power as he carries around a knockout ratio of 87.1 per cent. He’s boxed 138 rounds since making his pro debut in 2015 following his amateur career which saw him fight in the World Series of Boxing and has fought past six rounds just twice as a pro. Those contests came in two of his last six outings against former world champions Rene Alvarado and Joseph Diaz.

Zepeda, who stands 5-feet-9-inches tall with a 69.5-inch reach, stepped up in class in those two fights and beat Diaz by a wide 12-round unanimous decision and Alvarado by a 10-round unanimous nod. His biggest wins before that came against the likes of Jose Fierros, Jesus Zazueta, Jose Rosales and Roberto Ramirez. Since turning pro, Zepeda won the vacant WBA Contintental Americas Lightweight Title in July, 2021 when he stopped Hector Tanajara after six rounds and defended it once by halting John Vincent Moralde in four rounds four months later. He’s also captured the vacant WBF Mexican Lightweight Title and the vacant WBC Fecarbox Silver Lightweight Crown

The 33-year-old Farmer is a southpaw who won the vacant IBF Super Featherweight title in August, 2018 via a unanimous decision over Billy Dib. He defended it against James Tennyson by fifth-round stoppage in October, by unanimous decision over Francisco Fonseca in December and by unanimous decision over Jono Carroll in March, 2019 before beating Guillame Frenois by unanimous decision. He then lost the belt to Joseph Diaz by unanimous decision six months later. He’s also beaten Maxi Hughes and Mercito Gesta.

Farmer originally fought for the vacant IBF Super Featherweight Title in December, 2017, but dropped a split decision to Kenichi Ogawa. Many fans and experts thought Farmer had done enough to win and the bout was later changed to a no-contest when Ogawa failed a drug test. Farmer stands 5-feet-6-inches tall with a 67-inch reach, so gives up three inches in height and 2.5-inches in reach to Zepeda. Farmer had a brief amateur career before turning pro in 2011. Since then he’s boxed 303 rounds and enters the bout with a record of 33-6-1 with just 8 Ko’s to his name.

After losing his pro debut when he was stopped in four rounds by Oscar Santana, Farmer then dropped a four-round unanimous decision to Josh Bowles eight months later and drew Frank De Alba in his next fight. Three fights later, Farmer lost an eight-round decision to Kamil Laszcyk before being stopped by Jose Pedraza in eight rounds in 2012. He didn’t give up though despite losing four and drawing one of his first 12 pro fights.

Farmer then went on a 23-fight winning streak before losing to Diaz. He hasn’t fought many world class contenders though with his best wins being over Tennyson, Avery Sparrow, Billy Dib, Ivan Redkach, Emanuel Gonzalez and Gamaliel Diaz. He lacks power as just 24.4 per cent of his wins have come by stoppage but he’s halted two of his past three opponents. Zepeda can’t take him lightly because he possesses fine boxing skills and a lot of hand speed. He’s improved a lot over the years and his chin isn’t bad at all even though he’s been stopped twice.

Prediction…

Zepeda has plenty of power and to make him such a nightmare to face is the fact that he just keeps on throwing non-stop punches until the job is done. Farmer will need a solid chin as he definitely doesn’t have the power to keep Zepeda off of him, especially if he has to work his way inside. Zepeda’s relentless punching should eventually prove to be too much for him but Farmer’s skills could frustrate the heavy hitter. A win for Zepeda is the most likely scenario this Saturday night and it could also be by stoppage but I think the -2500 to +1100 odds are a bit askew as Farmer has a slight chance if he can last the distance.

Zepeda’s non-stop punching should be the difference here.

Play: Zepeda -2500 @ BetOnline.ag

Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form.

• •

Leave a Comment